Too quick to judge KiwiBuild?
KiwiBuild still making a difference: industry players
Kiwibuild may not meet its first-year target, but some economists and developers believe people have been too quick to dismiss its influence.
Housing and Urban Development Minister Phil Twyford says Kiwibuild is on track to complete 300 houses by July 1 but that it will miss its first-year target of 1000 homes.
Auckland Council’s chief economist and former Westpac economist David Norman said that was not surprising because of the time it took to get housing underway.
But Kiwibuild had been useful in creating “a whole new market segment” of lower-priced homes in Auckland where there had been little incentive to deliver them in the past.
“The fact that this wouldn’t have happened a year and a half ago is the point.”
And the focus on lower new house prices was not due to fears of fewer buyers and a softer real estate market, because building consents were “going through the roof”.
Annual Auckland building consents were hovering around 13,000 in November, up 25 per cent in the last 15 months, indicating that demand was still there. “People still think they can make a dollar.”
“We’re consenting more than ever, some of those are Housing NZ houses, but only about 10 per cent. So it is still predominantly the free market trying to eat into that shortfall.”
Phil Eaton, of construction consultancy Greenstone Group, also believed Kiwibuild had been useful in making people think about what the housing solution might look like.
“Existing and new organisations are considering the capital it would take to set up factories, improve systems or train new people,” he wrote in a LinkedIn post.
It had also created optimism in the industry, by underwriting developments. “If the buyers are there … then it’s worth spending time and money creating new products, buying land and pursuing new opportunities.
“And this at a time that the private buyer market is stumbling, with very slow sales.”
But Kiwibuild had shown what a “basket case” the industry was and how difficult it was to develop and build new dwellings.
“It is a complex range of skill sets that is required to do so successfully in this market. There is a lot of room for improvement right across the supply chain.
“So while these wheels are turning slowly (too slowly), they are turning!”
However, Eaton said Kiwibuild’s ambitious targets had set it up for criticism, although they had made Housing NZ and the Hobsonville Land Company more focussed.
Property developer Matthew Horncastle, who has had some initial talks with Kiwibuild, said he felt the Government should revise the targets.
But anything that aided affordable housing was positive, and Kiwibuild’s sluggishness told a story.
“What that should show is how difficult the New Zealand construction industry is. There’s a company that goes broke pretty much every single day in the sector and that’s because we have an extremely complicated industry with lots of moving parts.”
Horncastle said he personally believed the Government should leave building to the industry and spend its energy on removing bureaucracy instead.
Rezoning for high density, lowering GST and harmonising local body rules would all go a long way, he said.
“There’s no one silver bullet. It’s a mixture of cultural things like car ownership, high density, greater standardisation, bringing down material prices, wage growth. It’s all doable and anyone who points a finger at a government is doing the wrong thing as well.
“You can’t point the finger at National and say it’s their fault, or at Labour and say it’s their fault, or say it’s Kiwibuild’s fault. We need to have a whole lot of balls moving in the right direction and it will fix itself.”
It was also something that would take a long time to fix.
Bernie Smith, chief executive of Monte Cecilia Housing Trust said on LinkedIn that the country really needed a 25-year housing strategy “that looks at land, design, procurement and building strong healthy communities.”